Towson
CAA · 1-0 vs FCS · 1-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#56
+0.9 pts · likely #29–95
Strength of schedule
18.7
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
18.7
1 wins
Record SOS
—
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 0.0%
Remaining SOS
39.4
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 14-9 | −2.6 | −1.5 | 0.187 | 3 | +0.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: at Villanova · p 0.789
- Wk 4: at North Dakota State · p 0.843
- Wk 6: vs William & Mary · p 0.517
- Wk 7: at Norfolk State · p 0.240
- Wk 8: vs Stony Brook · p 0.162
- Wk 9: at Monmouth · p 0.328
- Wk 10: at Richmond · p 0.344
- Wk 11: vs Hampton · p 0.132
- Wk 12: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.141
- Wk 13: at Campbell · p 0.449
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CincinnatiFBS · L 20-38