Stony Brook
CAA · 1-0 vs FCS · 1-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#88
−4.0 pts · likely #51–112
Strength of schedule
10.1
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
10.1
1 wins
Record SOS
—
Remaining SOS
39.9
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Stonehill | W 37-10 | −8.3 | −1.5 | 0.101 | 3 | +10.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: at Fordham · p 0.149
- Wk 4: at Campbell · p 0.449
- Wk 5: vs Morgan State · p 0.187
- Wk 6: vs Villanova · p 0.727
- Wk 8: at Towson · p 0.327
- Wk 9: vs William & Mary · p 0.517
- Wk 10: at Bryant · p 0.287
- Wk 11: vs UAlbany · p 0.489
- Wk 12: at New Hampshire · p 0.601
- Wk 13: vs Monmouth · p 0.259
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarshallFBS · L 3-45