Southern Illinois
MVFC · 1-0 vs FCS · 1-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 45% of the time
Power
#6
+15.1 pts · likely #3–30
Strength of schedule
55.1
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
55.1
1 wins
Record SOS
—
Remaining SOS
50.5
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Austin Peay | W 31-17 | +9.4 | +1.5 | 0.551 | 1 | +21.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.446
- Wk 4: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.455
- Wk 5: at South Dakota · p 0.582
- Wk 6: vs Illinois State · p 0.427
- Wk 7: vs North Dakota State · p 0.790
- Wk 9: at Indiana State · p 0.193
- Wk 10: at Missouri State · p 0.519
- Wk 11: vs Youngstown State · p 0.578
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.922
- Wk 13: vs Murray State · p 0.141
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BYUFBS · L 13-41