Montana State
Big Sky · 2-0 vs FCS · 3-0 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 62% of the time
Power
#5
+17.5 pts · likely #3–23
Strength of schedule
21.3
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
21.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.917
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
41.5
13 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: vs Mercyhurst · p 0.161
- Wk 5: at Idaho State · p 0.215
- Wk 6: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.084
- Wk 7: vs Idaho · p 0.551
- Wk 8: at Portland State · p 0.221
- Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.389
- Wk 11: vs Sacramento State · p 0.420
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.463
- Wk 13: vs Montana · p 0.591
- Wk 15: vs UT Martin · p 0.425
- Wk 16: vs Idaho · p 0.551
- Wk 17: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.818
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.503
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New MexicoFBS · W 35-31