Illinois State
MVFC · 1-0 vs FCS · 1-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#28
+7.8 pts · likely #11–63
Strength of schedule
18.9
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
18.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.333
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 100.0%
Remaining SOS
43.5
12 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Illinois State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Alabama | W 24-17 | −5.5 | +1.5 | 0.189 | 3 | +4.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: vs Western Illinois · p 0.043
- Wk 4: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.257
- Wk 5: vs North Dakota State · p 0.790
- Wk 6: at Southern Illinois · p 0.697
- Wk 7: vs Missouri State · p 0.440
- Wk 8: at Murray State · p 0.190
- Wk 10: vs Youngstown State · p 0.578
- Wk 11: at Northern Iowa · p 0.515
- Wk 12: at Indiana State · p 0.193
- Wk 13: vs North Dakota · p 0.522
- Wk 14: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.535
- Wk 15: at UC Davis · p 0.463
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IowaFBS · L 0-40