Southern
SWAC · 7-5 vs FCS · 8-5 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#94
−5.9 pts · likely #71–110
Strength of schedule
23.7
#97 of 129
Strength of victory
13.3
#87
Record SOS
0.508
Opp. 52.7% · Opp. opp. 47.1%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
4-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at McNeese | L 7-21 | +1.7 | +2.5 | 0.374 | 2 | −11.3 |
| 3 | at Jackson State | L 15-33 | +8.6 | +2.5 | 0.558 | 1 | −4.4 |
| 4 | at Prairie View A&M | W 31-24 OT | −10.3 | +2.5 | 0.128 | 3 | −3.1 |
| 6 | vs Nicholls State | L 7-51 | −5.3 | −2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Savannah StateDII · W 42-10