Morehead State
Pioneer · 5-5 vs FCS · 7-5 overall
Strength of record
#83
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#116
−11.3 pts · likely #96–121
Strength of schedule
22.9
#102 of 129
Strength of victory
12.8
#89
Record SOS
0.521
Opp. 55.9% · Opp. opp. 44.6%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Montana | L 2-59 | +13.4 | +2.5 | 0.682 | 1 | −18.6 |
| 4 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 13-42 | +7.4 | +2.5 | 0.526 | 1 | −18.8 |
| 5 | vs Valparaiso | W 17-5 | −20.7 | −2.5 | 0.014 | 4 | −9.2 |
| 6 | at Butler | L 6-40 | −5.2 | +2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 17-10
- Wk 2: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 48-7