Idaho State
Big Sky · 4-6 vs FCS · 5-7 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#74
−2.4 pts · likely #56–97
Strength of schedule
48.0
#12 of 129
Strength of victory
36.3
#11
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 49.3% · Opp. opp. 51.4%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-5
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at North Dakota | L 28-52 | +8.8 | +2.5 | 0.564 | 1 | −13.0 |
| 4 | vs Southern Utah | W 38-28 | +11.6 | −2.5 | 0.503 | 1 | +16.7 |
| 5 | vs Montana State | L 17-37 | +28.0 | −2.5 | 0.869 | 1 | +5.5 |
| 6 | at Cal Poly | W 41-38 | −5.9 | +2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Oregon StateFBS · L 15-38
- Wk 2: vs Western OregonDII · W 50-10