Merrimack
FCS Indep. · 5-4 vs FCS · 5-6 overall
Strength of record
#70
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#64
+0.1 pts · likely #43–87
Strength of schedule
19.5
#113 of 129
Strength of victory
16.1
#79
Record SOS
0.439
Opp. 42.0% · Opp. opp. 47.7%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Bucknell | W 31-21 | −3.2 | +2.5 | 0.255 | 2 | +9.4 |
| 4 | vs Maine | L 15-26 | +0.7 | −2.5 | 0.232 | 3 | −12.3 |
| 5 | vs Dartmouth | L 14-16 | +7.0 | −2.5 | 0.382 | 2 | +2.0 |
| 7 | at Morgan State | W 32-24 | −5.1 | +2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Air ForceFBS · L 6-21
- Wk 2: at UConnFBS · L 17-63