Mercer
Southern · 11-1 vs FCS · 11-2 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 12% of the time
Power
#9
+12.9 pts · likely #6–27
Strength of schedule
25.9
#91 of 129
Strength of victory
25.2
#47
Record SOS
0.492
Opp. 48.3% · Opp. opp. 50.9%
Remaining SOS
92.7
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
4-1
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 63-10 | −9.4 | −2.5 | 0.078 | 4 | +23.4 |
| 2 | at Bethune-Cookman | W 31-2 | −10.0 | +2.5 | 0.131 | 3 | +22.4 |
| 3 | at Chattanooga | W 10-3 | +11.3 | +2.5 | 0.628 | 1 | +19.4 |
| 4 | vs The Citadel | W 38-21 | −4.8 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.927
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 12: at AlabamaFBS · L 7-52