Elon
CAA · 6-5 vs FCS · 6-6 overall
Strength of record
#45
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#46
+4.4 pts · likely #25–65
Strength of schedule
34.5
#49 of 129
Strength of victory
32.8
#18
Record SOS
0.515
Opp. 51.7% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-5
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Carolina Central | W 41-19 | +12.2 | +2.5 | 0.652 | 1 | +34.1 |
| 3 | vs Western Carolina | L 17-24 | +7.2 | −2.5 | 0.386 | 2 | −1.4 |
| 4 | vs East Tennessee State | L 14-34 | +4.2 | −2.5 | 0.310 | 2 | −18.5 |
| 5 | vs Richmond | L 17-27 | +8.2 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at DukeFBS · L 3-26