Villanova
CAA · 10-2 vs FCS · 10-3 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 15% of the time
Power
#16
+10.7 pts · likely #8–37
Strength of schedule
34.3
#48 of 129
Strength of victory
32.9
#18
Record SOS
0.522
Opp. 51.1% · Opp. opp. 54.6%
Remaining SOS
69.6
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Youngstown State | W 24-17 | +6.5 | −2.4 | 0.369 | 2 | +10.8 |
| 2 | at Colgate | W 28-3 | −8.0 | +2.4 | 0.161 | 3 | +18.8 |
| 3 | vs Towson | W 14-13 | +4.5 | −2.4 | 0.321 | 2 | +3.7 |
| 5 | vs Long Island | W 24-10 | −3.7 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: at Incarnate Word · p 0.696
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at MarylandFBS · L 20-38