Valparaiso
Pioneer · 2-7 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#122
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#124
−18.9 pts · likely #118–126
Strength of schedule
17.0
#121 of 129
Strength of victory
3.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.438
Opp. 42.0% · Opp. opp. 47.4%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
2-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northern Iowa | L 7-35 | +1.0 | +2.4 | 0.352 | 2 | −24.2 |
| 2 | at Youngstown State | L 25-59 | +6.0 | +2.4 | 0.484 | 2 | −25.3 |
| 5 | at Morehead State | L 5-17 | −12.9 | +2.4 | 0.093 | 4 | −21.1 |
| 6 | vs Drake | L 3-27 | −3.0 | −2.4 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · W 20-17
- Wk 4: vs RooseveltDII · W 31-23