Southern
SWAC · 7-4 vs FCS · 8-4 overall
Strength of record
#60
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#88
−5.2 pts · likely #68–108
Strength of schedule
20.6
#107 of 129
Strength of victory
13.1
#88
Record SOS
0.488
Opp. 49.4% · Opp. opp. 47.5%
Remaining SOS
55.5
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
4-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at McNeese | L 7-21 | +1.7 | +2.4 | 0.370 | 2 | −11.1 |
| 3 | at Jackson State | L 15-33 | +8.6 | +2.4 | 0.554 | 1 | −5.5 |
| 4 | at Prairie View A&M | W 31-24 OT | −10.3 | +2.4 | 0.126 | 3 | −3.4 |
| 6 | vs Nicholls State | L 7-51 | −5.4 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: at Jackson State · p 0.555
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Savannah StateDII · W 42-10