Mercyhurst
NEC · 1-6 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#108
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#114
−10.2 pts · likely #88–120
Strength of schedule
35.0
#45 of 129
Strength of victory
9.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.526
Opp. 57.9% · Opp. opp. 42.0%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercyhurst. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Howard | L 31-32 | −7.5 | +2.4 | 0.170 | 3 | −5.8 |
| 3 | at Robert Morris | L 28-55 | −2.7 | +2.4 | 0.265 | 2 | −26.9 |
| 4 | at Montana State | L 13-52 | +24.9 | +2.4 | 0.894 | 1 | −8.0 |
| 7 | at Central Connecticut State | L 20-38 | +1.0 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at WheelingDII · W 28-25
- Wk 5: vs Frostburg StateDII · L 24-25
- Wk 6: vs Buffalo StateDIII · W 55-0
- Wk 11: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 66-0