Southern
SWAC · 6-4 vs FCS · 7-4 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#97
−6.4 pts · likely #72–112
Strength of schedule
21.1
#106 of 129
Strength of victory
12.6
#90
Record SOS
0.493
Opp. 50.2% · Opp. opp. 47.6%
Remaining SOS
36.7
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at McNeese | L 7-21 | +1.7 | +2.4 | 0.371 | 2 | −10.9 |
| 3 | at Jackson State | L 15-33 | +8.7 | +2.4 | 0.558 | 1 | −5.4 |
| 4 | at Prairie View A&M | W 31-24 OT | −10.2 | +2.4 | 0.128 | 3 | −3.4 |
| 6 | vs Nicholls State | L 7-51 | −5.4 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.177
- Wk 15: at Jackson State · p 0.557
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Savannah StateDII · W 42-10