Central Connecticut State
NEC · 7-3 vs FCS · 7-5 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#68
−0.6 pts · likely #48–89
Strength of schedule
24.6
#91 of 129
Strength of victory
15.9
#80
Record SOS
0.487
Opp. 47.4% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
56.6
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Fordham | W 33-3 | −4.5 | −2.4 | 0.140 | 3 | +22.5 |
| 3 | at Saint Francis | W 27-20 | −7.8 | +2.4 | 0.164 | 3 | +2.4 |
| 6 | at Yale | L 22-23 | +9.8 | +2.4 | 0.588 | 1 | +11.0 |
| 7 | vs Mercyhurst | W 38-20 | −10.4 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: at Rhode Island · p 0.566
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Central MichiganFBS · L 10-66
- Wk 4: at MassachusettsFBS · L 31-35