Central Arkansas
UAC · 6-4 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#37
+6.4 pts · likely #17–56
Strength of schedule
29.4
#76 of 129
Strength of victory
21.9
#55
Record SOS
0.478
Opp. 45.3% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
61.6
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lindenwood | W 34-13 | −1.3 | +2.2 | 0.291 | 2 | +19.7 |
| 3 | vs Austin Peay | W 45-17 | +5.5 | −2.2 | 0.349 | 2 | +30.0 |
| 4 | at Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 56-17 | −17.8 | +2.2 | 0.047 | 4 | +18.3 |
| 5 | vs Lamar | W 34-14 | −0.2 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Tarleton State · p 0.616
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arkansas StateFBS · L 31-34