Western Illinois
OVC · 2-5 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#88
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#110
−9.7 pts · likely #85–119
Strength of schedule
32.8
#54 of 129
Strength of victory
26.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.508
Opp. 50.6% · Opp. opp. 51.3%
Remaining SOS
37.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Illinois State | L 34-51 | +9.8 | +2.4 | 0.589 | 1 | −4.9 |
| 6 | at Charleston Southern | W 31-20 | −8.2 | +2.4 | 0.158 | 3 | +4.1 |
| 7 | vs UT Martin | L 17-45 | +12.8 | −2.4 | 0.536 | 1 | −16.8 |
| 8 | vs Tennessee Tech | W 37-21 | +6.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.561
- Wk 13: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.187
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Northern IllinoisFBS · L 15-54
- Wk 2: at IndianaFBS · L 3-77
- Wk 5: vs McKendreeDII · W 49-32