Howard
MEAC · 3-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#108
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#92
−6.5 pts · likely #72–113
Strength of schedule
16.5
#121 of 129
Strength of victory
4.8
#95
Record SOS
0.381
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 47.9%
Remaining SOS
39.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Howard. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Mercyhurst | W 32-31 | −11.9 | −2.4 | 0.057 | 4 | −12.2 |
| 4 | vs (N) Hampton | L 20-27 | +2.3 | 0.0 | 0.326 | 2 | −5.1 |
| 5 | at Princeton | L 13-30 | −6.0 | +2.4 | 0.198 | 3 | −18.9 |
| 7 | vs Sacred Heart | W 21-14 | −11.4 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at North Carolina Central · p 0.538
- Wk 13: at Morgan State · p 0.248
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at RutgersFBS · L 7-44
- Wk 3: vs (N) Morehouse CollegeDII · W 35-21