Holy Cross
Patriot · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#60
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#22
+9.0 pts · likely #11–47
Strength of schedule
35.7
#43 of 129
Strength of victory
19.9
#62
Record SOS
0.520
Opp. 53.0% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
14.7
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Holy Cross. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Rhode Island | L 17-20 | +10.1 | +2.4 | 0.596 | 1 | +9.7 |
| 2 | vs New Hampshire | L 20-21 | +10.6 | −2.4 | 0.478 | 2 | +7.5 |
| 3 | at Bryant | W 43-22 | −6.6 | +2.4 | 0.186 | 3 | +17.0 |
| 4 | vs Yale | L 31-38 | +6.5 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Bucknell · p 0.125
- Wk 13: at Georgetown · p 0.170
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 5: at SyracuseFBS · L 14-42