Central Connecticut State
NEC · 5-3 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#56
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#68
−1.2 pts · likely #48–94
Strength of schedule
23.3
#95 of 129
Strength of victory
9.8
#88
Record SOS
0.415
Opp. 34.5% · Opp. opp. 55.4%
Remaining SOS
40.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Fordham | W 33-3 | −5.4 | −2.4 | 0.127 | 3 | +21.2 |
| 3 | at Saint Francis | W 27-20 | −8.6 | +2.4 | 0.152 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 6 | at Yale | L 22-23 | +8.9 | +2.4 | 0.564 | 1 | +9.8 |
| 7 | vs Mercyhurst | W 38-20 | −10.4 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Robert Morris · p 0.200
- Wk 13: vs Duquesne · p 0.424
- Wk 14: at Rhode Island · p 0.594
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Central MichiganFBS · L 10-66
- Wk 4: at MassachusettsFBS · L 31-35