Monmouth
CAA · 3-5 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#29
+7.9 pts · likely #13–54
Strength of schedule
34.1
#47 of 129
Strength of victory
25.2
#41
Record SOS
0.498
Opp. 46.4% · Opp. opp. 56.6%
Remaining SOS
51.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Washington | L 27-42 | +3.5 | +2.5 | 0.419 | 2 | −7.6 |
| 2 | vs Lafayette | L 35-40 | −1.9 | −2.5 | 0.182 | 3 | −7.7 |
| 3 | at Maine | W 51-22 | +6.8 | +2.5 | 0.509 | 1 | +35.6 |
| 5 | vs Fordham | W 63-21 | −5.9 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at New Hampshire · p 0.591
- Wk 12: vs Villanova · p 0.480
- Wk 13: at Stony Brook · p 0.466
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at Florida InternationalFBS · W 45-42