Montana
Big Sky · 1-0 vs FCS · 1-0 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 60% of the time
Power
#6
+15.3 pts · likely #3–31
Strength of schedule
40.5
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
40.5
1 wins
Record SOS
—
Remaining SOS
38.7
13 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | W 29-24 | +7.2 | −1.7 | 0.405 | 2 | +12.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 2: at North Dakota · p 0.554
- Wk 3: vs Morehead State · p 0.086
- Wk 4: vs Western Carolina · p 0.423
- Wk 5: at Eastern Washington · p 0.470
- Wk 6: vs Weber State · p 0.344
- Wk 7: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.334
- Wk 9: at Northern Colorado · p 0.123
- Wk 10: at Cal Poly · p 0.102
- Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.424
- Wk 12: vs Portland State · p 0.273
- Wk 13: at Montana State · p 0.789
- Wk 14: vs Tennessee State · p 0.183
- Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.926