2024 Week 1 FCS team sheets

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.434
• Wk 4: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.328
• Wk 6: at Northern Iowa · p 0.554
• Wk 7: vs Youngstown State · p 0.515
• Wk 8: at North Dakota State · p 0.791
• Wk 9: vs South Dakota · p 0.496
• Wk 10: vs Murray State · p 0.129
• Wk 11: at North Dakota · p 0.554
• Wk 12: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.530
• Wk 13: at Missouri State · p 0.542
• Wk 15: vs Montana · p 0.622
• Wk 16: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.434
• Wk 17: at North Dakota State · p 0.791

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at Oklahoma StateFBS · L 20-44

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs Tennessee State · p 0.183
• Wk 3: at East Tennessee State · p 0.185
• Wk 4: vs Towson · p 0.253
• Wk 5: at Illinois State · p 0.560
• Wk 6: vs North Dakota · p 0.460
• Wk 7: at Southern Illinois · p 0.622
• Wk 8: vs South Dakota State · p 0.887
• Wk 9: at Murray State · p 0.186
• Wk 10: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.460
• Wk 12: vs Missouri State · p 0.448
• Wk 13: at South Dakota · p 0.589
• Wk 15: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.302
• Wk 16: vs Mercer · p 0.490
• Wk 17: vs South Dakota State · p 0.887
• Wk 17: vs (N) Montana State · p 0.753

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at ColoradoFBS · L 26-31

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs Maine · p 0.182
• Wk 4: vs Mercyhurst · p 0.129
• Wk 5: at Idaho State · p 0.220
• Wk 6: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.081
• Wk 7: vs Idaho · p 0.544
• Wk 8: at Portland State · p 0.356
• Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.470
• Wk 11: vs Sacramento State · p 0.413
• Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.518
• Wk 13: vs Montana · p 0.622
• Wk 15: vs UT Martin · p 0.423
• Wk 16: vs Idaho · p 0.544
• Wk 17: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.755
• Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.496

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at New MexicoFBS · W 35-31

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Delaware. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 3: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.195
• Wk 4: vs Penn · p 0.352
• Wk 5: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.055
• Wk 6: at Monmouth · p 0.357
• Wk 7: vs Maine · p 0.182
• Wk 8: at Richmond · p 0.474
• Wk 9: vs UAlbany · p 0.480
• Wk 11: vs Rhode Island · p 0.402
• Wk 12: vs Campbell · p 0.270
• Wk 13: at Villanova · p 0.749

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: at Colgate · p 0.272
• Wk 3: vs Towson · p 0.253
• Wk 5: vs Long Island · p 0.172
• Wk 6: at Stony Brook · p 0.106
• Wk 8: at Maine · p 0.251
• Wk 9: vs New Hampshire · p 0.502
• Wk 10: at Hampton · p 0.183
• Wk 11: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.137
• Wk 12: at Monmouth · p 0.357
• Wk 13: vs Delaware · p 0.681
• Wk 14: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.368
• Wk 15: at Incarnate Word · p 0.528

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: at North Dakota · p 0.554
• Wk 3: vs Morehead State · p 0.086
• Wk 4: vs Western Carolina · p 0.423
• Wk 5: at Eastern Washington · p 0.470
• Wk 6: vs Weber State · p 0.344
• Wk 7: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.334
• Wk 9: at Northern Colorado · p 0.123
• Wk 10: at Cal Poly · p 0.102
• Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.424
• Wk 12: vs Portland State · p 0.273
• Wk 13: at Montana State · p 0.789
• Wk 14: vs Tennessee State · p 0.183
• Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.926

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 3: vs UAlbany · p 0.480
• Wk 4: at Abilene Christian · p 0.388
• Wk 5: at UC Davis · p 0.518
• Wk 6: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.334
• Wk 7: at Montana State · p 0.789
• Wk 8: vs Cal Poly · p 0.066
• Wk 9: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.378
• Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.356
• Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.344
• Wk 13: at Idaho State · p 0.220
• Wk 15: vs Lehigh · p 0.116
• Wk 16: at Montana State · p 0.789

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at OregonFBS · L 14-24

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: at Austin Peay · p 0.558
• Wk 3: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.434
• Wk 4: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.433
• Wk 5: at South Dakota · p 0.589
• Wk 6: vs Illinois State · p 0.466
• Wk 7: vs North Dakota State · p 0.716
• Wk 9: at Indiana State · p 0.192
• Wk 10: at Missouri State · p 0.542
• Wk 11: vs Youngstown State · p 0.515
• Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.926
• Wk 13: vs Murray State · p 0.129

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at BYUFBS · L 13-41

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Furman. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.087
• Wk 3: vs Stetson · p 0.027
• Wk 4: at William & Mary · p 0.606
• Wk 6: at The Citadel · p 0.098
• Wk 7: vs Chattanooga · p 0.415
• Wk 8: vs Western Carolina · p 0.423
• Wk 10: at VMI · p 0.105
• Wk 11: vs Wofford · p 0.178
• Wk 12: at East Tennessee State · p 0.185
• Wk 13: at Mercer · p 0.584

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at Ole MissFBS · L 0-76

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Youngstown State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs Valparaiso · p 0.053
• Wk 3: vs Duquesne · p 0.194
• Wk 5: at Missouri State · p 0.542
• Wk 6: vs Indiana State · p 0.134
• Wk 7: at South Dakota State · p 0.926
• Wk 8: vs South Dakota · p 0.496
• Wk 9: vs North Dakota · p 0.460
• Wk 10: at Illinois State · p 0.560
• Wk 11: at Southern Illinois · p 0.622
• Wk 12: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.460

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 3: at Wofford · p 0.247
• Wk 4: vs Furman · p 0.516
• Wk 5: vs Hampton · p 0.127
• Wk 6: at Towson · p 0.334
• Wk 8: vs Campbell · p 0.270
• Wk 9: at Stony Brook · p 0.106
• Wk 10: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.195
• Wk 11: vs Elon · p 0.407
• Wk 12: vs Bryant · p 0.219
• Wk 13: at Richmond · p 0.474

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against New Hampshire. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: at Holy Cross · p 0.580
• Wk 3: vs Stonehill · p 0.098
• Wk 4: vs Bryant · p 0.219
• Wk 6: at Harvard · p 0.584
• Wk 7: at Elon · p 0.501
• Wk 8: vs Rhode Island · p 0.402
• Wk 9: at Villanova · p 0.749
• Wk 10: at UAlbany · p 0.574
• Wk 11: vs Monmouth · p 0.273
• Wk 12: vs Stony Brook · p 0.069
• Wk 13: at Maine · p 0.251
• Wk 14: vs UT Martin · p 0.423

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at UCFFBS · L 3-57

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 4: vs Drake · p 0.164
• Wk 5: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.530
• Wk 6: at Murray State · p 0.186
• Wk 7: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.460
• Wk 8: at Youngstown State · p 0.608
• Wk 9: at South Dakota State · p 0.926
• Wk 11: vs Indiana State · p 0.134
• Wk 12: at North Dakota · p 0.554
• Wk 13: vs North Dakota State · p 0.716
• Wk 15: vs Tarleton State · p 0.357
• Wk 16: vs UC Davis · p 0.424
• Wk 17: at Montana State · p 0.789

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: vs Northern StateDII · W 45-3

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Harvard. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 4: vs Stetson · p 0.027
• Wk 5: at Brown · p 0.284
• Wk 6: vs New Hampshire · p 0.502
• Wk 7: at Cornell · p 0.232
• Wk 8: vs Holy Cross · p 0.486
• Wk 9: vs Princeton · p 0.365
• Wk 10: at Dartmouth · p 0.449
• Wk 11: vs Columbia · p 0.239
• Wk 12: at Penn · p 0.443
• Wk 13: vs Yale · p 0.438

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: at Bethune-Cookman · p 0.208
• Wk 3: at Chattanooga · p 0.508
• Wk 4: vs The Citadel · p 0.063
• Wk 5: at Wofford · p 0.247
• Wk 7: vs Princeton · p 0.365
• Wk 8: at Samford · p 0.312
• Wk 9: vs Western Carolina · p 0.423
• Wk 10: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.129
• Wk 11: at VMI · p 0.105
• Wk 13: vs Furman · p 0.516
• Wk 15: vs Rhode Island · p 0.402
• Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.791

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Holy Cross. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs New Hampshire · p 0.502
• Wk 3: at Bryant · p 0.294
• Wk 4: vs Yale · p 0.438
• Wk 6: at Colgate · p 0.272
• Wk 7: vs Fordham · p 0.311
• Wk 8: at Harvard · p 0.584
• Wk 9: at Lafayette · p 0.521
• Wk 11: vs Lehigh · p 0.116
• Wk 12: vs Bucknell · p 0.137
• Wk 13: at Georgetown · p 0.341

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against UAlbany. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 3: at Idaho · p 0.636
• Wk 5: vs Maine · p 0.182
• Wk 6: at Cornell · p 0.232
• Wk 7: at Bryant · p 0.294
• Wk 8: vs Elon · p 0.407
• Wk 9: at Delaware · p 0.760
• Wk 10: vs New Hampshire · p 0.502
• Wk 11: at Stony Brook · p 0.106
• Wk 12: at Rhode Island · p 0.496
• Wk 13: vs Hampton · p 0.127

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Utah. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 3: vs UC Davis · p 0.424
• Wk 4: at Idaho State · p 0.220
• Wk 5: at Austin Peay · p 0.558
• Wk 6: vs Tarleton State · p 0.357
• Wk 7: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.368
• Wk 9: at West Georgia · p 0.276
• Wk 10: at Abilene Christian · p 0.388
• Wk 11: vs North Alabama · p 0.135
• Wk 12: at Central Arkansas · p 0.553
• Wk 13: vs Utah Tech · p 0.160

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at UtahFBS · L 0-49

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Illinois State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: at North Alabama · p 0.192
• Wk 3: vs Western Illinois · p 0.041
• Wk 4: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.258
• Wk 5: vs North Dakota State · p 0.716
• Wk 6: at Southern Illinois · p 0.622
• Wk 7: vs Missouri State · p 0.448
• Wk 8: at Murray State · p 0.186
• Wk 10: vs Youngstown State · p 0.515
• Wk 11: at Northern Iowa · p 0.554
• Wk 12: at Indiana State · p 0.192
• Wk 13: vs North Dakota · p 0.460
• Wk 14: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.527
• Wk 15: at UC Davis · p 0.518

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at IowaFBS · L 0-40

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.530
• Wk 3: at Central Arkansas · p 0.553
• Wk 4: vs Alabama A&M · p 0.123
• Wk 5: vs Southern Utah · p 0.479
• Wk 6: at West Georgia · p 0.276
• Wk 8: at Utah Tech · p 0.224
• Wk 9: vs Tarleton State · p 0.357
• Wk 10: at North Alabama · p 0.192
• Wk 11: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.302
• Wk 12: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.368
• Wk 13: vs Chattanooga · p 0.415

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at LouisvilleFBS · L 0-62

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.236
• Wk 6: vs South Dakota State · p 0.887
• Wk 7: at South Dakota · p 0.589
• Wk 8: at North Dakota · p 0.554
• Wk 9: vs Missouri State · p 0.448
• Wk 10: at North Dakota State · p 0.791
• Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.466
• Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.608
• Wk 13: vs Indiana State · p 0.134

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs Montana · p 0.622
• Wk 3: vs Idaho State · p 0.156
• Wk 4: vs San Diego · p 0.100
• Wk 5: vs Murray State · p 0.129
• Wk 6: at North Dakota State · p 0.791
• Wk 8: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.460
• Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.608
• Wk 10: at Indiana State · p 0.192
• Wk 11: vs South Dakota State · p 0.887
• Wk 12: vs South Dakota · p 0.496
• Wk 13: at Illinois State · p 0.560

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 3-21

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: at Lindenwood · p 0.092
• Wk 3: vs Austin Peay · p 0.464
• Wk 4: at Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.042
• Wk 5: vs Lamar · p 0.172
• Wk 6: at Abilene Christian · p 0.388
• Wk 7: vs West Georgia · p 0.203
• Wk 9: vs North Alabama · p 0.135
• Wk 10: at Utah Tech · p 0.224
• Wk 11: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.460
• Wk 12: vs Southern Utah · p 0.479
• Wk 13: at Tarleton State · p 0.448

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at Arkansas StateFBS · L 31-34

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 3: vs Lindenwood · p 0.059
• Wk 4: at UT Martin · p 0.517
• Wk 5: vs Youngstown State · p 0.515
• Wk 7: at Illinois State · p 0.560
• Wk 8: vs Indiana State · p 0.134
• Wk 9: at Northern Iowa · p 0.554
• Wk 10: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.530
• Wk 11: at Murray State · p 0.186
• Wk 12: at North Dakota State · p 0.791
• Wk 13: vs South Dakota State · p 0.887

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 4: at Holy Cross · p 0.580
• Wk 5: at Cornell · p 0.232
• Wk 6: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.053
• Wk 7: vs Dartmouth · p 0.357
• Wk 8: vs Lehigh · p 0.116
• Wk 9: at Penn · p 0.443
• Wk 10: at Columbia · p 0.318
• Wk 11: vs Brown · p 0.210
• Wk 12: vs Princeton · p 0.365
• Wk 13: at Harvard · p 0.584

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: at South Dakota State · p 0.926
• Wk 3: at Southern Illinois · p 0.622
• Wk 4: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.334
• Wk 6: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.084
• Wk 7: vs Nicholls State · p 0.295
• Wk 8: vs McNeese · p 0.164
• Wk 9: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.328
• Wk 10: vs Houston Christian · p 0.129
• Wk 11: vs Lamar · p 0.172
• Wk 12: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.344
• Wk 13: at East Texas A&M · p 0.100
• Wk 15: vs Villanova · p 0.669
• Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.926

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs UT Martin · p 0.423
• Wk 4: at Southern Illinois · p 0.622
• Wk 5: vs Northwestern State · p 0.055
• Wk 6: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.339
• Wk 7: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.160
• Wk 8: at Charleston Southern · p 0.131
• Wk 9: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.274
• Wk 11: at Lindenwood · p 0.092
• Wk 12: vs Western Illinois · p 0.041
• Wk 13: at Tennessee State · p 0.252
• Wk 14: vs Illinois State · p 0.466

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at New Mexico StateFBS · L 16-23

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lafayette. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: at Monmouth · p 0.357
• Wk 3: vs Marist · p 0.033
• Wk 4: at Columbia · p 0.318
• Wk 6: at Fordham · p 0.399
• Wk 7: vs Georgetown · p 0.259
• Wk 8: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.055
• Wk 9: vs Holy Cross · p 0.486
• Wk 10: at Bucknell · p 0.196
• Wk 11: at Colgate · p 0.272
• Wk 12: vs Stonehill · p 0.098
• Wk 13: at Lehigh · p 0.169

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at BuffaloFBS · L 13-30

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.064
• Wk 3: at Southern Utah · p 0.573
• Wk 4: vs Utah Tech · p 0.160
• Wk 5: vs Idaho · p 0.544
• Wk 6: at Portland State · p 0.356
• Wk 7: vs Cal Poly · p 0.066
• Wk 8: at Eastern Washington · p 0.470
• Wk 10: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.081
• Wk 11: at Montana · p 0.708
• Wk 12: vs Montana State · p 0.714
• Wk 13: at Sacramento State · p 0.507
• Wk 15: vs Illinois State · p 0.466
• Wk 16: at South Dakota · p 0.589

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at CaliforniaFBS · L 13-31

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against UT Martin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.527
• Wk 3: vs North Alabama · p 0.135
• Wk 4: vs Missouri State · p 0.448
• Wk 6: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.274
• Wk 7: at Western Illinois · p 0.067
• Wk 9: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.258
• Wk 10: at Tennessee State · p 0.252
• Wk 11: at Charleston Southern · p 0.131
• Wk 12: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.160
• Wk 13: vs Lindenwood · p 0.059
• Wk 14: at New Hampshire · p 0.595
• Wk 15: at Montana State · p 0.789

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 6-41

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs Campbell · p 0.270
• Wk 3: at Elon · p 0.501
• Wk 4: at Montana · p 0.708
• Wk 6: vs Wofford · p 0.178
• Wk 7: vs The Citadel · p 0.063
• Wk 8: at Furman · p 0.609
• Wk 9: at Mercer · p 0.584
• Wk 10: vs Chattanooga · p 0.415
• Wk 11: at East Tennessee State · p 0.185
• Wk 12: vs VMI · p 0.068
• Wk 13: at Samford · p 0.312

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at NC StateFBS · L 21-38

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Chattanooga. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 3: vs Mercer · p 0.490
• Wk 5: vs Portland State · p 0.273
• Wk 6: at East Tennessee State · p 0.185
• Wk 7: at Furman · p 0.609
• Wk 8: vs Wofford · p 0.178
• Wk 9: vs VMI · p 0.068
• Wk 10: at Western Carolina · p 0.517
• Wk 11: at The Citadel · p 0.098
• Wk 12: vs Samford · p 0.234
• Wk 13: at Austin Peay · p 0.558

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at TennesseeFBS · L 3-69

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 3: vs Nicholls State · p 0.295
• Wk 4: at East Texas A&M · p 0.100
• Wk 5: at Northern Arizona · p 0.424
• Wk 7: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.378
• Wk 8: vs Weber State · p 0.344
• Wk 9: at Idaho State · p 0.220
• Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.273
• Wk 11: at Montana State · p 0.789
• Wk 12: at Cal Poly · p 0.102
• Wk 13: vs UC Davis · p 0.424

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at San José StateFBS · L 24-42

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: at North Carolina Central · p 0.470
• Wk 3: vs Western Carolina · p 0.423
• Wk 4: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.129
• Wk 5: vs Richmond · p 0.382
• Wk 7: vs New Hampshire · p 0.502
• Wk 8: at UAlbany · p 0.574
• Wk 9: at Hampton · p 0.183
• Wk 10: vs Campbell · p 0.270
• Wk 11: at William & Mary · p 0.606
• Wk 12: vs Maine · p 0.182
• Wk 13: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.195

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at DukeFBS · L 3-26

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Rhode Island. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 3: vs Campbell · p 0.270
• Wk 4: at Long Island · p 0.239
• Wk 6: at Hampton · p 0.183
• Wk 7: vs Brown · p 0.210
• Wk 8: at New Hampshire · p 0.595
• Wk 9: vs Maine · p 0.182
• Wk 10: vs Monmouth · p 0.273
• Wk 11: at Delaware · p 0.760
• Wk 12: vs UAlbany · p 0.480
• Wk 13: at Bryant · p 0.294
• Wk 14: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.053
• Wk 15: at Mercer · p 0.584

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Richmond. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs Wofford · p 0.178
• Wk 3: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.087
• Wk 4: at Delaware State · p 0.077
• Wk 5: at Elon · p 0.501
• Wk 6: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.137
• Wk 8: vs Delaware · p 0.681
• Wk 9: at Bryant · p 0.294
• Wk 10: vs Towson · p 0.253
• Wk 11: at Campbell · p 0.354
• Wk 12: at Hampton · p 0.183
• Wk 13: vs William & Mary · p 0.513
• Wk 14: vs Lehigh · p 0.116

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at VirginiaFBS · L 13-34

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Washington. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs Drake · p 0.164
• Wk 3: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.328
• Wk 5: vs Montana · p 0.622
• Wk 7: at Sacramento State · p 0.507
• Wk 8: vs UC Davis · p 0.424
• Wk 9: at Idaho · p 0.636
• Wk 10: vs Montana State · p 0.714
• Wk 11: at Northern Colorado · p 0.123
• Wk 12: vs Idaho State · p 0.156
• Wk 13: at Northern Arizona · p 0.424

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs Elon · p 0.407
• Wk 4: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.137
• Wk 5: vs (N) Norfolk State · p 0.210
• Wk 6: at Campbell · p 0.354
• Wk 9: vs Morgan State · p 0.184
• Wk 10: at South Carolina State · p 0.247
• Wk 12: vs Howard · p 0.251
• Wk 13: at Delaware State · p 0.077

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Kentucky. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 3: vs West Georgia · p 0.203
• Wk 4: vs Morehead State · p 0.086
• Wk 5: vs Robert Morris · p 0.085
• Wk 7: at Southern Utah · p 0.573
• Wk 8: at Abilene Christian · p 0.388
• Wk 9: vs Utah Tech · p 0.160
• Wk 10: at Tarleton State · p 0.448
• Wk 11: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.459
• Wk 12: at Austin Peay · p 0.558
• Wk 13: vs North Alabama · p 0.135
• Wk 14: at Villanova · p 0.749

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at Mississippi StateFBS · L 7-56

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Princeton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 4: at Lehigh · p 0.169
• Wk 5: vs Howard · p 0.251
• Wk 6: at Columbia · p 0.318
• Wk 7: at Mercer · p 0.584
• Wk 8: vs Brown · p 0.210
• Wk 9: at Harvard · p 0.584
• Wk 10: vs Cornell · p 0.166
• Wk 11: vs Dartmouth · p 0.357
• Wk 12: at Yale · p 0.531
• Wk 13: vs Penn · p 0.352

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dartmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 4: vs Fordham · p 0.311
• Wk 5: at Merrimack · p 0.250
• Wk 6: vs Penn · p 0.352
• Wk 7: at Yale · p 0.531
• Wk 8: vs Central Connecticut State · p 0.053
• Wk 9: at Columbia · p 0.318
• Wk 10: vs Harvard · p 0.491
• Wk 11: at Princeton · p 0.457
• Wk 12: at Cornell · p 0.232
• Wk 13: vs Brown · p 0.210

Counted games (1)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: at Houston Christian · p 0.186
• Wk 4: at North Alabama · p 0.192
• Wk 5: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.248
• Wk 6: at Southern Utah · p 0.573
• Wk 7: vs Utah Tech · p 0.160
• Wk 9: at Austin Peay · p 0.558
• Wk 10: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.368
• Wk 11: at West Georgia · p 0.276
• Wk 12: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.302
• Wk 13: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.459
• Wk 14: vs Drake · p 0.164
• Wk 15: at South Dakota · p 0.589

Not counted (opponent not FCS)

• Wk 1: at BaylorFBS · L 3-45

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Penn. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 4: at Delaware · p 0.760
• Wk 5: vs Colgate · p 0.200
• Wk 6: at Dartmouth · p 0.449
• Wk 7: vs Bucknell · p 0.137
• Wk 8: vs Columbia · p 0.239
• Wk 9: vs Yale · p 0.438
• Wk 10: at Brown · p 0.284
• Wk 11: at Cornell · p 0.232
• Wk 12: vs Harvard · p 0.491
• Wk 13: at Princeton · p 0.457

Counted games (0)

Opponent strength leaves out every game against Weber State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.

Remaining FCS games

• Wk 2: vs Portland State · p 0.273
• Wk 3: at Lamar · p 0.239
• Wk 4: at Northwestern State · p 0.086
• Wk 5: vs McNeese · p 0.164
• Wk 6: at Montana · p 0.708
• Wk 7: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.081
• Wk 8: at Sacramento State · p 0.507
• Wk 10: at Northern Arizona · p 0.424
• Wk 11: vs Idaho State · p 0.156
• Wk 12: at Idaho · p 0.636
• Wk 13: vs Cal Poly · p 0.066