Wagner
NEC · 3-5 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#100
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#122
−16.6 pts · likely #110–127
Strength of schedule
17.4
#121 of 128
Strength of victory
12.9
#84
Record SOS
0.412
Opp. 40.3% · Opp. opp. 43.0%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Fordham | L 16-46 | +3.4 | +2.5 | 0.416 | 2 | −23.8 |
| 3 | at Sacred Heart | W 17-10 | −11.2 | +2.5 | 0.115 | 3 | −1.9 |
| 4 | vs Merrimack | W 30-27 | −1.8 | −2.5 | 0.183 | 3 | −1.8 |
| 7 | at Saint Francis | L 7-31 | −2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NavyFBS · L 0-24
- Wk 5: at RutgersFBS · L 3-52
- Wk 12: vs Post UniversityDII · W 48-21