Montana State
Big Sky · 8-4 vs FCS · 8-4 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 25% of the time
Power
#5
+18.9 pts · likely #2–10
Strength of schedule
45.3
#15 of 128
Strength of victory
27.7
#40
Record SOS
0.552
Opp. 55.8% · Opp. opp. 54.0%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-4
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Utah Tech | W 63-20 | −2.2 | −2.5 | 0.175 | 3 | +28.9 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 16-20 | +34.3 | +2.5 | 0.971 | 1 | +31.5 |
| 3 | vs Stetson | W 57-20 | −21.8 | −2.5 | 0.012 | 4 | +12.8 |
| 4 | at Weber State | W 40-0 | +7.9 |