Marist
Pioneer · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#101
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#120
−16.0 pts · likely #106–126
Strength of schedule
14.1
#127 of 128
Strength of victory
6.0
#86
Record SOS
0.385
Opp. 34.7% · Opp. opp. 46.1%
Remaining SOS
9.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Marist. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Georgetown | L 7-49 | −7.2 | +2.5 | 0.175 | 3 | −37.9 |
| 3 | vs Davidson | L 21-49 | −0.9 | −2.5 | 0.201 | 3 | −29.0 |
| 4 | at Valparaiso | W 36-30 OT | −12.2 | +2.5 | 0.102 | 3 | −7.1 |
| 5 | vs Stetson | W 34-24 | −17.3 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Drake · p 0.158
- Wk 11: at Dayton · p 0.034
- Wk 12: vs Bucknell · p 0.091