Howard
MEAC · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#70
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#84
−3.8 pts · likely #57–103
Strength of schedule
20.8
#114 of 128
Strength of victory
9.2
#81
Record SOS
0.418
Opp. 37.2% · Opp. opp. 50.8%
Remaining SOS
36.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Howard. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs (N) Hampton | L 34-35 | −5.2 | 0.0 | 0.168 | 3 | −6.3 |
| 5 | at Robert Morris | W 35-10 | −12.9 | +2.5 | 0.094 | 4 | +11.2 |
| 7 | at Harvard | L 7-48 | +10.1 | +2.5 | 0.596 | 1 | −20.8 |
| 8 | vs Norfolk State | W 27-23 | −4.3 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at South Carolina State · p 0.132
- Wk 11: vs North Carolina Central · p 0.529
- Wk 12: vs Morgan State · p 0.184
- Wk 16: vs (N) Florida A&M · p 0.597
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Eastern MichiganFBS · L 23-33
- Wk 2: vs Morehouse CollegeDII · W 65-19
- Wk 6: at NorthwesternFBS · L 20-23