Butler
Pioneer · 4-3 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#88
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#73
−2.5 pts · likely #49–97
Strength of schedule
18.2
#119 of 128
Strength of victory
3.6
#87
Record SOS
0.408
Opp. 39.1% · Opp. opp. 44.0%
Remaining SOS
13.0
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
4-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 20-35 | +12.9 | +2.5 | 0.667 | 1 | −0.0 |
| 4 | at Stetson | W 28-18 | −18.7 | +2.5 | 0.044 | 4 | −5.5 |
| 5 | vs Presbyterian | W 27-17 | −20.8 | −2.5 | 0.014 | 4 | −11.6 |
| 6 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 10-17 | −4.6 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Morehead State · p 0.102
- Wk 12: vs Drake · p 0.158
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs TaylorNon-NCAA · W 41-13
- Wk 3: vs Wabash CollegeDIII · W 47-21