Alabama State
SWAC · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#37
A #25-level team matches it 72% of the time
Power
#52
+2.7 pts · likely #30–77
Strength of schedule
32.4
#62 of 128
Strength of victory
28.4
#32
Record SOS
0.558
Opp. 61.5% · Opp. opp. 44.4%
Remaining SOS
13.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern | W 14-10 | +1.8 | −2.5 | 0.255 | 2 | +3.4 |
| 4 | at Florida A&M | L 10-23 | +12.6 | +2.5 | 0.660 | 1 | +1.8 |
| 5 | vs Alcorn State | L 20-23 OT | −3.8 | −2.5 | 0.149 | 3 | −7.1 |
| 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 19-14 | −7.6 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.194
- Wk 11: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.086
- Wk 12: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.128
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Miles CollegeDII · L 17-21