Southern
SWAC · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#72
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#55
+2.6 pts · likely #32–80
Strength of schedule
26.9
#89 of 128
Strength of victory
13.4
#65
Record SOS
0.475
Opp. 47.2% · Opp. opp. 48.1%
Remaining SOS
16.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Alabama State | L 10-14 | +0.6 | +2.4 | 0.341 | 2 | −0.5 |
| 2 | vs Jackson State | L 14-27 | +6.7 | −2.4 | 0.377 | 2 | −7.2 |
| 3 | vs Alabama A&M | W 20-10 | −2.4 | −2.4 | 0.175 | 3 | +5.2 |
| 5 | at Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 27-0 | −17.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Texas Southern · p 0.143
- Wk 10: at Alcorn State · p 0.248
- Wk 11: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.086
- Wk 13: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.175
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 7: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 45-18