Sacramento State
Big Sky · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#25
A #25-level team matches it 56% of the time
Power
#26
+9.7 pts · likely #10–48
Strength of schedule
39.5
#22 of 128
Strength of victory
22.7
#47
Record SOS
0.527
Opp. 53.1% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
46.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | W 38-24 | +6.4 | +2.4 | 0.495 | 2 | +20.8 |
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 34-6 | −7.7 | −2.4 | 0.098 | 4 | +17.7 |
| 4 | at Idaho | L 27-36 | +13.8 | +2.4 | 0.687 | 1 | +7.1 |
| 5 | vs Northern Arizona | W 31-30 | +0.1 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Idaho State · p 0.199
- Wk 10: at Montana · p 0.627
- Wk 11: vs Cal Poly · p 0.065
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.580
- Wk 13: at North Dakota · p 0.675
- Wk 14: at South Dakota · p 0.656
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at StanfordFBS · W 30-23