Richmond
CAA · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#58
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#49
+3.8 pts · likely #28–71
Strength of schedule
16.5
#122 of 128
Strength of victory
18.9
#54
Record SOS
0.338
Opp. 21.9% · Opp. opp. 57.5%
Remaining SOS
49.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Richmond. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Morgan State | L 10-17 | −5.6 | −2.4 | 0.125 | 3 | −12.5 |
| 3 | vs Delaware State | W 38-6 | −18.2 | −2.4 | 0.022 | 4 | +10.5 |
| 4 | at Stony Brook | W 20-19 | −15.2 | +2.4 | 0.069 | 4 | −9.9 |
| 5 | vs Hampton | L 14-31 | −8.7 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Campbell · p 0.397
- Wk 11: vs Elon · p 0.380
- Wk 12: at William & Mary · p 0.526
- Wk 13: vs North Carolina Central · p 0.506
- Wk 14: at UAlbany · p 0.685
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Michigan StateFBS · L 14-45