Incarnate Word
Southland · 5-0 vs FCS · 6-1 overall
Strength of record
#16
A #25-level team matches it 30% of the time
Power
#15
+11.8 pts · likely #5–44
Strength of schedule
19.6
#116 of 128
Strength of victory
19.6
#52
Record SOS
0.336
Opp. 24.0% · Opp. opp. 52.9%
Remaining SOS
22.8
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Northern Colorado | W 42-7 | −8.9 | +2.4 | 0.146 | 3 | +26.5 |
| 3 | at Abilene Christian | W 27-20 | +6.7 | +2.4 | 0.502 | 1 | +15.4 |
| 6 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | W 33-26 | −2.7 | −2.4 | 0.170 | 3 | +4.1 |
| 7 | vs East Texas A&M | W 28-11 | −9.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Lamar · p 0.188
- Wk 10: vs Nicholls State · p 0.314
- Wk 12: at Houston Christian · p 0.182
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UTEPFBS · L 14-28
- Wk 4: vs North American UniversityNon-NCAA · W 63-3