William & Mary
CAA · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 46% of the time
Power
#19
+10.8 pts · likely #8–46
Strength of schedule
31.9
#60 of 128
Strength of victory
25.9
#21
Record SOS
0.436
Opp. 37.0% · Opp. opp. 56.7%
Remaining SOS
36.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Campbell | W 34-24 | +12.0 | +2.7 | 0.652 | 1 | +22.7 |
| 2 | vs Wofford | W 23-6 | −12.3 | −2.7 | 0.052 | 4 | +3.7 |
| 3 | at Charleston Southern | W 15-7 | −7.7 | +2.7 | 0.171 | 3 | +4.7 |
| 4 | vs Maine | W 28-3 | −2.9 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Towson · p 0.211
- Wk 9: vs Monmouth · p 0.378
- Wk 10: at UAlbany · p 0.622
- Wk 11: at Hampton · p 0.376
- Wk 12: vs Richmond · p 0.215
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 6: at VirginiaFBS · L 13-27