Villanova
CAA · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 50% of the time
Power
#17
+11.5 pts · likely #7–43
Strength of schedule
31.0
#64 of 128
Strength of victory
26.1
#20
Record SOS
0.588
Opp. 57.3% · Opp. opp. 61.8%
Remaining SOS
49.5
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Lehigh | W 38-10 | −8.7 | +2.7 | 0.155 | 3 | +20.8 |
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 42-19 | −5.9 | −2.7 | 0.116 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 4 | vs Rhode Island | W 35-9 | +11.2 | −2.7 | 0.487 | 2 | +30.8 |
| 5 | at UAlbany | L 10-31 | +6.5 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Elon · p 0.447
- Wk 9: vs Stony Brook · p 0.056
- Wk 10: at New Hampshire · p 0.609
- Wk 11: vs Towson · p 0.211
- Wk 12: at Delaware · p 0.716
- Wk 14: vs Youngstown State · p 0.530
- Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.894
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at UCFFBS · L 14-48