Towson
CAA · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#70
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#65
−0.3 pts · likely #41–89
Strength of schedule
37.0
#33 of 128
Strength of victory
47.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.561
Opp. 56.7% · Opp. opp. 55.0%
Remaining SOS
49.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Monmouth | L 23-42 | +3.9 | −2.7 | 0.299 | 2 | −14.9 |
| 3 | at Morgan State | W 20-10 | −3.9 | +2.7 | 0.244 | 3 | +6.7 |
| 4 | vs Norfolk State | L 14-21 | −5.6 | −2.7 | 0.121 | 3 | −13.0 |
| 5 | at New Hampshire | W 54-51 OT | +14.0 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at William & Mary · p 0.624
- Wk 9: vs Delaware · p 0.581
- Wk 10: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.240
- Wk 11: at Villanova · p 0.655
- Wk 12: vs Rhode Island · p 0.390
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MarylandFBS · L 6-38