Tarleton State
UAC · 3-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#35
A #25-level team matches it 76% of the time
Power
#47
+4.0 pts · likely #24–75
Strength of schedule
23.7
#96 of 128
Strength of victory
20.2
#34
Record SOS
0.306
Opp. 18.3% · Opp. opp. 55.0%
Remaining SOS
42.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at McNeese | W 52-34 | −14.0 | +2.7 | 0.084 | 4 | +6.4 |
| 2 | vs North Alabama | W 52-31 | −0.0 | −2.7 | 0.213 | 3 | +15.7 |
| 5 | at Southeastern Louisiana | W 14-13 | −1.0 | +2.7 | 0.310 | 2 | +3.5 |
| 6 | vs Southern Utah | L 26-27 | +5.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.533
- Wk 8: vs Morehead State · p 0.064
- Wk 9: at Central Arkansas · p 0.681
- Wk 10: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.416
- Wk 11: at Abilene Christian · p 0.444
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Texas TechFBS · L 3-41
- Wk 4: vs Southwest BaptistDII · W 27-13