North Carolina Central
MEAC · 4-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 15% of the time
Power
#9
+13.3 pts · likely #5–39
Strength of schedule
34.3
#46 of 128
Strength of victory
34.3
#9
Record SOS
0.526
Opp. 42.1% · Opp. opp. 73.6%
Remaining SOS
21.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Carolina A&T | W 30-16 | −4.3 | +2.7 | 0.236 | 3 | +12.4 |
| 4 | vs (N) Mississippi Valley State | W 45-3 | −13.7 | 0.0 | 0.062 | 4 | +19.7 |
| 5 | vs Campbell | W 49-48 OT | +9.3 | −2.7 | 0.437 | 2 | +8.3 |
| 6 | at Elon | W 34-23 | +11.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Morgan State · p 0.211
- Wk 9: vs South Carolina State · p 0.104
- Wk 10: vs Norfolk State · p 0.171
- Wk 11: at Howard · p 0.457
- Wk 12: vs Delaware State · p 0.032
- Wk 13: at Richmond · p 0.336
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Winston-SalemDII · W 47-21
- Wk 3: at UCLAFBS · L 7-59