Marist
Pioneer · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#95
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#125
−15.3 pts · likely #99–127
Strength of schedule
19.3
#114 of 128
Strength of victory
8.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.360
Opp. 31.3% · Opp. opp. 45.4%
Remaining SOS
8.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Marist. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Georgetown | L 7-49 | −7.4 | +2.7 | 0.177 | 3 | −36.8 |
| 3 | vs Davidson | L 21-49 | −2.0 | −2.7 | 0.176 | 3 | −28.6 |
| 4 | at Valparaiso | W 36-30 OT | −11.3 | +2.7 | 0.117 | 3 | −7.1 |
| 5 | vs Stetson | W 34-24 | −11.1 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs San Diego · p 0.064
- Wk 8: at Presbyterian · p 0.042
- Wk 9: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.226
- Wk 10: vs Drake · p 0.076
- Wk 11: at Dayton · p 0.054
- Wk 12: vs Bucknell · p 0.046