Central Connecticut State
NEC · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#100
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#109
−11.4 pts · likely #80–124
Strength of schedule
15.1
#118 of 128
Strength of victory
3.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.268
Opp. 17.8% · Opp. opp. 44.8%
Remaining SOS
16.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Stonehill | L 30-33 | −12.5 | −2.7 | 0.050 | 4 | −17.0 |
| 5 | at Brown | L 20-42 | +1.5 | +2.7 | 0.372 | 2 | −17.0 |
| 6 | vs Delaware State | W 51-44 | −15.4 | −2.7 | 0.033 | 4 | −10.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Duquesne · p 0.249
- Wk 8: at Wagner · p 0.116
- Wk 9: vs Long Island · p 0.107
- Wk 10: at Sacred Heart · p 0.136
- Wk 11: at Merrimack · p 0.247
- Wk 12: vs Saint Francis · p 0.126
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs American InternationalDII · W 44-0
- Wk 3: at Kent StateFBS · L 10-38