Abilene Christian
UAC · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#48
+3.8 pts · likely #24–78
Strength of schedule
37.6
#30 of 128
Strength of victory
18.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.530
Opp. 60.4% · Opp. opp. 38.2%
Remaining SOS
33.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Abilene Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northern Colorado | W 31-11 | −13.1 | −2.7 | 0.046 | 4 | +4.5 |
| 2 | at Prairie View A&M | W 45-16 | −0.6 | +2.7 | 0.319 | 2 | +27.2 |
| 3 | vs Incarnate Word | L 20-27 | +15.1 | −2.7 | 0.593 | 1 | +4.8 |
| 4 | at Central Arkansas | L 17-52 | +8.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs North Alabama · p 0.176
- Wk 8: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.561
- Wk 9: at Southern Utah · p 0.497
- Wk 10: vs Utah Tech · p 0.135
- Wk 11: vs Tarleton State · p 0.314
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 5: at North TexasFBS · L 31-45