St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 7-3 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#59
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#72
−2.5 pts · likely #54–97
Strength of schedule
20.6
#109 of 128
Strength of victory
8.6
#95
Record SOS
0.480
Opp. 47.9% · Opp. opp. 48.0%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
5-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at South Dakota | L 0-24 | +12.9 | +2.4 | 0.668 | 1 | −10.0 |
| 3 | at Harvard | L 13-45 | +10.7 | +2.4 | 0.611 | 1 | −18.5 |
| 4 | vs Morehead State | W 35-28 | −11.5 | −2.4 | 0.060 | 4 | −6.1 |
| 5 | at Dayton | W 20-14 | −13.1 | +2.4 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Black Hills StateDII · W 36-26