Nicholls State
Southland · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 72% of the time
Power
#53
+2.3 pts · likely #34–75
Strength of schedule
31.2
#71 of 128
Strength of victory
24.3
#51
Record SOS
0.476
Opp. 47.0% · Opp. opp. 48.7%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sacramento State | L 24-38 | +7.9 | −2.4 | 0.406 | 2 | −8.0 |
| 5 | at McNeese | W 31-10 | −13.8 | +2.4 | 0.084 | 4 | +9.3 |
| 6 | vs Houston Christian | W 38-7 | −4.9 | −2.4 | 0.134 | 3 | +21.3 |
| 8 | at East Texas A&M | W 27-7 | −13.2 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TCUFBS · L 6-41
- Wk 4: at TulaneFBS · L 7-36