Montana
Big Sky · 9-1 vs FCS · 10-1 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 2.8% of the time
Power
#3
+19.5 pts · likely #2–12
Strength of schedule
39.8
#28 of 128
Strength of victory
39.8
#4
Record SOS
0.532
Opp. 53.9% · Opp. opp. 51.8%
Remaining SOS
70.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Butler | W 35-20 | −1.5 | −2.4 | 0.189 | 3 | +12.8 |
| 2 | at Utah Tech | W 43-13 | −2.2 | +2.4 | 0.276 | 2 | +29.0 |
| 4 | at Northern Arizona | L 14-28 | +2.6 | +2.4 | 0.394 | 2 | −7.1 |
| 5 | vs Idaho State | W 28-20 | −7.0 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Delaware · p 0.624
- Wk 15: vs Furman · p 0.511
- Wk 16: vs North Dakota State · p 0.737
- Wk 16: vs (N) South Dakota State · p 0.934
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Ferris StateDII · W 17-10