Missouri State
MVFC · 4-6 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#55
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#36
+7.3 pts · likely #17–56
Strength of schedule
48.3
#5 of 128
Strength of victory
19.9
#63
Record SOS
0.545
Opp. 54.4% · Opp. opp. 54.6%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-5
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at UT Martin | L 31-38 | +8.8 | +2.4 | 0.561 | 1 | +3.8 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 59-14 | −1.1 | −2.4 | 0.198 | 3 | +29.1 |
| 5 | at Southern Illinois | L 20-33 | +13.1 | +2.4 | 0.673 | 1 | +2.0 |
| 6 | vs North Dakota State | L 10-38 | +19.3 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at KansasFBS · L 17-48