Mercer
Southern · 9-2 vs FCS · 9-3 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 35% of the time
Power
#19
+10.6 pts · likely #8–44
Strength of schedule
27.9
#83 of 128
Strength of victory
22.8
#54
Record SOS
0.508
Opp. 49.7% · Opp. opp. 53.0%
Remaining SOS
95.3
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | W 17-7 | −1.8 | 0.0 | 0.232 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 48-22 | −10.9 | −2.4 | 0.065 | 4 | +12.9 |
| 4 | at Furman | L 14-38 | +10.0 | +2.4 | 0.593 | 1 | −9.7 |
| 5 | vs VMI | W 38-3 | −6.1 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: at South Dakota State · p 0.953
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Ole MissFBS · L 7-73