Colgate
Patriot · 6-4 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#39
A #25-level team matches it 70% of the time
Power
#67
−0.8 pts · likely #48–88
Strength of schedule
38.2
#36 of 128
Strength of victory
32.0
#22
Record SOS
0.551
Opp. 56.8% · Opp. opp. 51.6%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Villanova | L 19-42 | +19.6 | +2.4 | 0.813 | 1 | −1.5 |
| 3 | vs Penn | L 6-20 | +5.0 | −2.4 | 0.332 | 2 | −11.1 |
| 4 | at Holy Cross | L 7-47 | +12.7 | +2.4 | 0.663 | 1 | −19.6 |
| 5 | at Cornell | W 35-25 | −3.4 | +2.4 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at SyracuseFBS · L 0-65