North Carolina Central
MEAC · 8-1 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#21
A #25-level team matches it 39% of the time
Power
#33
+7.8 pts · likely #14–55
Strength of schedule
21.0
#107 of 128
Strength of victory
20.6
#59
Record SOS
0.431
Opp. 38.6% · Opp. opp. 52.0%
Remaining SOS
51.9
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Carolina A&T | W 30-16 | −5.8 | +2.4 | 0.201 | 3 | +10.4 |
| 4 | vs (N) Mississippi Valley State | W 45-3 | −13.5 | 0.0 | 0.063 | 4 | +20.8 |
| 5 | vs Campbell | W 49-48 OT | +1.6 | −2.4 | 0.254 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 6 | at Elon | W 34-23 | +10.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Richmond · p 0.519
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Winston-SalemDII · W 47-21
- Wk 3: at UCLAFBS · L 7-59